Kadarius Toney (ADP: WR10) was one of the prospects my Pre-Combine model struggled with the most. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by the combined total of a running backs carries and targets. Copyright 2020 . Smith still ranks quite high by projected draft capital (WR3, Round 1), so the NFL doesnt seem to be as concerned with Smiths athleticism as they (presumably) were with Tyler Johnsons. From 2018-2019, he led the team, averaging 54.4 receiving YPG, just ahead of sixth-round pick Donovan Peoples-Jones (same age), who averaged 43.8 YPG. This service is intended for adult audiences. 'SPARQ' was an acronym it stands for: Speed, Power, Agility, Reaction and Quickness.[1]. For example, a 20-yard touchdown reception gets your receiver 9 points in PPR leagues, but the team was already going to score a FG, maybe even a touchdown, when they're 20 yards from the end zone. Money Throw A completed passs requiring exceptional skill or athleticism as well as critical completions in clutch moments during the game. By incorporating avolatility-relatedcoefficient, VOS is the evolutionary next step in Value-based Drafting (VBD) and provide ahelpful guidepost to be utilized during fantasy football drafts. Athletes scoring in Follow our 2023 NFL Combine tracker, top performers, participants, live results and commentary. It will help. Zeirlien also highlights his bend saying : " Tremendous lower-body flexion for 45-degree edge bend ", We've seen how important having that bend around the corner can be, and. However, hes 22.8 years old and never ranked higher than 4th on the team in receiving yards prior to last season, McMath was a one-year starter for LSU, understandably buried in the depth chart behind some elite WRs. By factoring out the disproportionate impact of long runs, the metric rewards running back consistency. Pace of Play - Total plays per minute. Give the RAS calculator a try and view the score! And Smith surely does not have Jacksons 4.35 wheels. If the athlete does not reach the start line in time, a warning is given, and the test is completed when two warnings are given. Rountree dropped outside of my top-10 (RB13) and Patterson was pushed outside of my top-15 (RB17). Boyd, Felton, and Williams are now fully off my board. Red Zone Target Share measures the percentage of all passing targets from a line of scrimmage at or inside the 20-yard line directed at a particular wide receiver or tight end in games that the receiver was involved in the passing attack. Snap Share The percentage of total offensive plays that the player was on the field for his team. Pooka Williams (ADP: RB16) posted a 13.9 SPORQ score. The three other WRs all dropped in my rankings, but, interestingly, none fell too far. Similar in concept to Agility Score, Burst Score sums a players Vertical Jump height and Broad Jump distance. On the other hand, high volatility is preferred in best-ball formats that automatically set optimal weekly lineups. Like with Freiermuth, Im not going to penalize him, but he did drop in my rankings due to projected draft capital. on the spreadsheets. Although hes still RB2 behind Harris in my personal rankings, that gap is now slightly closer, and Etienne looks much more like the truly special RB prospect I thought he would be. Henderson is the No. All have good projected draft capital behind them, and, interestingly, even Atwell. Their time is measured in seconds and transferred into SPARQ Points. Players with numbers higher than 8.0 have significant weekly output oscillation, and values over 10.0 indicate an extreme boom/bust range of outcomes. So this put me in a tricky situation. His 10-yard split saved what wouldve been an even lower score. Elite athleticism and has the production This then becomes SPARQ points to be added to the score. Fehoko (64, 222 pounds) is the most-exciting of the bunch (WR15 in my rankings). Where do they rank now in my finalized Pre-Draft Rookie Rankings? Simi Fehoko (115.3) and Jalen Camp (115.3) are two of only 46 WRs since 2000 to record a Speed Score of 115.0 or better. This metric is a window into the vertically-oriented nature of a quarterbacks offensive system. but you'll have to sign up in order to access our other articles and content! Thanks for sharing. The aggregate Lifetime Value is calculated using recent NFL opportunity, productivity, and efficiency metrics for veteran players as well as prospect profile metrics such as draft capital, college production, and athleticism for young players and prospects. Atwell ranked 8th in my Pre-Combine model, but I was certain hed fall during this phase of the process. Stevenson, who I liked even more than my model did, also fell, but not as far. Value Over Stream (VOS) The VOS metric calculates eachplayers fantasy points per game above the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current or previousseason, depending on the time of year. And he can add more to that frame if needed. At the sound of the second beep the athlete must run back to the starting line, after which the third beep sounds a 10-second recovery period the athlete jogs or walks in a 5-meter zone before resuming position back to the starting line, for the next beep. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Rondale Moores 4.31 40-yard-dash ranks 13th-best since 2000. the test is completed, is what is measured. SPARQ input factors are 40-yard dash, vertical jump, 20-yard shuttle, and thepower ball throw. Report: Cowboys set to meet with 2016 NFL Draft prospect, SPARQ star S Justin Simmons. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Base Front - seven defenders in the box. Comparing Alfred Morris and Roy Helus 2013 usage help to illuminate the utility of this metric. DeVonta Smith on the other hand Smith elected not to workout at Alabamas Pro Day. Had he been fully healthy and simply elected not to participate, he might have fallen in my rankings, but Im willing to accept this excuse and keep him ranked as the clear RB1 in this class. Overall, this tight end class sucks. Because if you add in the elite 40-time and the strong SPORQ score (85.8) in spite of the size concerns, he looks like an extremely high-level prospect. This points system rewards weekly volatility, while discounting consistency. But I kept these numbers the same partly because you can adjust them from here on your own if you so choose. In North Carolinas run heavy offense, Brown hit 1,000 receiving yards in back-to-back seasons with 20+ yards per reception in both years. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile w. The Big 3 RBs are all deserving of Round 1 picks in TE Premium Superflex Rookie Drafts. Rhamondre Stevenson (ADP: RB10) posted a 46.4 SPORQ score. Elijah Moore and Jaelon Darden both recorded a 3-Cone of 6.67, which ranks 45th-best since 2000. The pool of players included in the percentile ranks consists of those currently signed to active and futures contracts. Even Daniel Thomas, LJarius Sneed, Antoine Brooks, and KVon Wallace finished as top 74th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athletes Xavier McKinney finishing in the 8th percentile will most likely prevent him from being a Day 1 prospect in my model, but its important to remember how little athleticism matters for safety. Because Nikes actual SPARQ formula is not public, we compared publicallyavailable SPARQ scores to their related input factors, reverse-engineered anapproximation of the SPARQ formula, and then applied the formula to eachplayers workout metrics. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). Metcalf (12.97), Chase Claypool (124.7), and Jazz Ferguson (115.8) since 2016. My Pre-Combine model viewed JaMarr Chase as the best WR prospect since at least 2015. Going from his interview to the moody mess that is Jachai Polite really made Burns look so much better. Tommy Tremble was missing from our Pre-Combine top-7. Terrace Marshall (ADP: WR6) was another big winner. 2020 Adjusted SPARQ Scores (Offense) SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success Browns middling SPORQ score was a little surprising to me. And in neither instance were those career-high marks. Yards Created are accrued after the running back's first evaded tackle. Body Mass Index (BMI) formerly referred to as the Quetelet Index, BMI dates to the 19th century and provides a simple numeric measure of a person's thickness or thinness. The implication here is that Smith was worried a lackluster showing might have hurt his draft stock, which is to say a lackluster showing was somewhere between possible and probable. Deep Balls charts the total number of passing attempts that travel 20 yards or farther in the air. For tight ends and running backs, a 15% Dominator Rating is necessary to qualify for a breakout designation. College Dominator Rating first outlined by Frank DuPont in the book Game Plan, the college dominator rating represents a players market share or his percentage of his teams offensive production. I think a year in an NFL weight room could turn him into a real player. Zach Wilson averaged 38.4 (2018), then 33.7 (2019), and then 29.4 (2020) rushing YPG in each of his three seasons at BYU. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile would represent a player who rates as a league-average NFL athlete at the position. Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer. Tremble is fairly athletic, posting a 76.3 SPORQ score, but isnt quite on Kittles level. This means that a 0.0 z Epenesa arguably lost the most money last week of anyone who tested, finishing as a 17th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete. His numbers are absolutely absurd, but hes also fairly light for a TE. Chases 173.0 ranks 20th-best. He had turned 18 just three days prior. Total Best Ball Points Added aggregates a player's total points scored above this quantified weekly threshold over the course of the season. He averaged 5.6 YPC across his career, but rarely ever touched the ball (only 25 times in 2020), In his fifth season at Maryland, after two ACL tears, Funk averaged 118.8 YFS per game on 14.0 touches per game in 2021. Basically, Harris is a rich mans Jeff Janis. Both Matt Ryan and Giovanni Carmazza scored a 32. Blaine Gabbert crushed the Wonderlic with a score of 42, so he has that going for him. SPARQ-x - An approximation of Nikes SPARQ Rating (acronym it stands for: Speed, Power, Agility, Reaction and Quickness), a project started in 2004 to create a standardized test for athleticism similar to an SAT test for athletes. I severely penalized him for that fact and that appeared to be the right move my Pre-Combine model said he was deserving of a Round 1 or Round 2 pick, but he was ultimately drafted in Round 5. SPARQ had test protocols for six sports american football, boys'/girls' soccer, baseball, fastpitch, boys'/girls' basketball, as well as a test for general athleticism. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. Really intrigued by him. Hunter Bryants scores really surprised me You can read my early scouting reports and statistical evals on the tight end class here. Fantasy Points Per Target measures wide receiver and tight end fantasy points in the context of the players opportunities. Where do they rank by SPORQ score (something akin to a composite athleticism score)? Josh Imatorbhebhes 180.5 burst score ranks 5th-best since 2000. If Tremble is going to find fantasy success at the next level, hes going to have to be an outlier in the same way Drew Sample and George Kittle were (in college both were A+ blockers without much usage in the passing game). also, how not having that bend can hinder even an athletic freak like Dupree. Chris Evans (ADP: RB18) wasnt too far behind (88.6), and Jake Funk ranked right behind Evans (83.8). Burn Rate -Percentage of targets allowed in which the defensive back's assigned receiver gained more than 5 yards of downfield separation. For instance, here is a video of Waddle racing speedster Henry Ruggs in the 40 (which resulted in a tie). Hand Size data presented by John Bales fromFantasy Labs showed a relationship between hand size and quarterback performance, particularly in cold weather conditions. Im still trying to figure out why my Pre-Combine model liked Anthony Schwartz so much (Pre-Combine WR11). Note 2: Much is made over the fact that Pro Day numbers are typically much better than the numbers that same player will post at the Combine. Hayden Winks is an NFL and NFL Draft writer for NBC Sports Edge. Who has the most serious red flags? Harris 6.51 3-Cone is the best mark ever recorded by a TE, and would rank 2nd-best among RBs (just ahead of Christian McCaffrey) and 7th-best among WRs. Jake Funks 6.71 3-Cone ranks 13th-best since 2000, and, if weight-adjusted, 15th-best since 2000. As a freshman in 2018 (age 18.4), he turned 47 targets into 534 yards and 5 scores. How to read this: Kyle Duggar is a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. WebThe SPARQ is a rating system designed to measure sport-specific athleticism. Dillon is a 97th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete., Overall, this is a decent running back class in terms of depth J.K. Dobbins opted to not participate, but the other top prospects did (Jonathan Taylor, Cam Akers, DAndre Swift, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire) and they all finished as above-average Adjusted SPARQ athletes A.J. That would give Harris a 96th-percentile Speed Score at the position, and maybe the best ever short shuttle in Combine history at any position if he did in fact run a 3.70 shuttle a truly unfathomable mark, let alone for a player his size. Coverage Rating Comprehensive cornerback efficiency metric incorporating target rate, pass break-ups, catch rate allowed, and fantasy points allowed per snap. You can search for any player By Speed Score Pitts 130.7 ranks 2nd-best (behind Davis), while Harris moves to 29th-best since 2000. For QBs, PlayerProfiler adds a height premium. The higher the higher the percentage of completed air yards to total yards, the less a quarterback is being helped by his receivers gaining yards after the catch. He played as a down defensive end in a 4-3 in 2016. He was also an immediate starter and meaningful contributor for Auburn, totaling 117 YFS and two total touchdowns in his first game. Overall, athleticism is still just a small part of a prospects total profile, but I prefer Adjusted SPARQ to other composite athletic scores. Yards Created originated by Graham Barfield on his Fantasy Game Theory blog, his "Introduction to Yards Created"piece defines yards created as all yards generated above and beyond what was blocked. Expected Touchdown Differential the difference between expected and actual touchdowns scored. Kyle Pitts and Jacob Harris both ran a 4.40 40-yard-dash at their respective Pro Days. For calculation purposes, power ball throw wasconverted into bench press to ensure that all input factors aligned with specificNFL Scouting Combine events. Kadarius Toneys 175.5 ranks 11th-best. Route Participation - Indicates the percentage of total pass plays that the player ran a route in game when he was active. This stat was introduced and fully outlined in the book The Hidden Game of Footballby Bob Carroll, Pete Palmer, and John Thorn. We hope you're enjoying this old content for FREE. Here are the results of the 2020 NFL Draft Class: How to read this: A.J. Javian Hawkins (ADP: RB13), my pre-Combine RB7, posted a 29.4 SPORQ score. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? Imathorbhebhes 46.5-inch vert jump is a new record, and 1.5 inches more than the next-closest WR. and this is a very comprehensive list. The formulas for Adjusted SPARQ change by position -- and sometimes even within positions (RB, WR) -- to put the proper weight on the athletic traits that have historically been better at predicting success in the NFL. Age is calculated for each player as of September 2020. 2023 Post-Draft Market Report: Rookie QBs and TEs, Barrett's 2023 NFL Rookie Dynasty Rankings, 2023 Rookie RB Rankings for Dynasty Fantasy Football, DraftKings XFL Semifinals DFS Tournament Plays, Brett Whitefield's Final 2023 NFL Mock Draft, Scott Barrett's Final 2023 NFL Mock Draft, 2023 Pre-NFL Draft Rookie WR Dynasty Rankings. WebIt consists of 50 multiple choice questions to be answered in 12 minutes. Blaine Gabbert crushed the Wonderlic with a score of 42, so he has that going for him. I really don't understand why everyone keeps putting Hollins as an off-ball LB. Catch Radius first discussed by Scott Smith in a piece titled The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, the metric incorporates a players ability to cover ground as well as his ability to get vertical in order to score a players capacity to reaching the football in a 3-dimensional space. Since 2000, weve never seen a WR listed at 57 or shorter get drafted before Round 4, and those who were drafted (at all) were never meaningful contributors for fantasy. Hes 15 pounds lighter than Engram, who is the lightest TE in our database with at least one TE1 season. The scouts are on to him and I believe he had great workout numbers. Kene Nwangwu (ADP: UDFA) posted an elite 97.9 SPORQ score, which ranks 13th-best of 606 qualifiers since 2000. to back it up - even against top competition. Who moved up or down my board the most? After an elite showing at his Pro Day, recording a class-high 98.0 SPORQ score, I like Chase even more now, and I didnt even think that could be possible. Athletes in the 20-30 range possess solid functional intelligence. The values of all six data inputs are normalized to have equal weight. Over the past two seasons, he dropped 18% of his catchable targets, compared to 5% for Pitts. The Yo-Yo Intermittent Recovery Test is a test measuring an athlete's aerobic power and execution upon the changing of direction. Pitts 129.0 broad jump ranks 8th-best since 2000. Terms of Use https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/, The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com, https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Jaelon Darden (ADP: WR19) posted a 18.3 SPORQ score. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores This would rank tied with Marshall for 2nd-best since 2000. For one thing, hes exceedingly young the youngest WR in this class (age: 20.6). He was dinged partly due to size (58, 201 pounds), but also for a pedestrian 3-Cone an event which matters a great deal more for smaller RBs. Jackson (24.2 BMI) is also the only WR to post a BMI below 24.5 and record a 1,000-yard season. If we called him a WR, hed lead this class and rank 10th-best since 2000 (99.0). Note 1: Big shoutout to the great Dane Brugler and his 2021 NFL Draft Guide, which you can find here. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. Pat Freiermuth elected not to participate in the position drills at his Pro Day, as hes still recovering from a shoulder injury. To view the average RAS for every team by draft year, click here! SPARQ developed a training network made up of over 750 SPARQ Certified Trainers located throughout the country who are both independent coaches and trainers at chain performance centers. One of my favorite day three players. This service is intended for adult audiences. Fantasy Points Per Opportunity measures running back fantasy points in the context of the players overall usage and playmaking prowess. Well answer each of those questions in todays article. Elite athleticism and has the production. Cade Johnson (ADP: WR28) posted a 20.2 SPORQ score. Elijah Moore just missed the mark (4.00). Hell be a top-7 pick Kenneth You can find this chart here, along with where all of these players rank since 2000. At 227 pounds, Fields Speed Score of 114.74 ranks 3rd-best of 372-qualifying QBs since 2000. What wildly increased his value was putting on 21 pounds since the end of the season and then posting the numbers he did with that extra weight. Watch live streaming. Mac Jones averaged 1.1 rushing FPG in 2020. Okudah is clearly the top corner and will be among my top non-quarterback prospects this season C.J. And then theres another big tier drop, where everyone after that 2nd tier is even more uninspiring and unexciting. Due to a minor ankle injury, Najee Harris didnt workout at his Pro Day, and as such recorded a SPORQ score of DNQ (Did Not Qualify). Jalen Camps 29 bench press reps are the most by any WR since 2000, and two more than the next-closest WR. I have my personal The SPARQ was not created to measure athleticism in NFL prospects. Like I said, Moore was penalized due to his height, but whatever reduction I gave him (via SPORQ score) was always going to be wholly arbitrary. Funk probably doesnt get drafted, but Evans and (then) Nwangwu are expected to see their names called on Day 3. For running backs, it is the percentage of total offensive production, because running backs are involved in both the running and passing game. Jacob Harris 173.5 burst score ranks best ever by a TE, and would rank 17th-best among WRs. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores. Positive values indicate that a player is more efficient than the average player, while negative values indicate that a player is less efficient than his peers with similar opportunities in similar situations. Prior to the height-based adjustment, he ranked 6th-best. Both are elite times at his size (61, 232 pounds). Heres a twitter thread looking at some historical player comparisons for the 2021 class based on athletic profile. Jermar Jefferson (ADP: RB6), my Pre-Combine RB6, posted a 32.2 SPORQ score. Chase (3.99) is one of only 39 WRs to post a short shuttle time under 4.00. It consists of 50 multiple choice questions to be answered in 12 minutes. SPARQ's business were focused on the rating system and selling advanced functional fitness training equipment. Fantasy Points Per Attempt measures quarterback fantasy points in the context of passing opportunities by dividing total fantasy points by passing attempts. However, his SPORQ score of 88.8 is highly encouraging, as is his projected draft capital (WR4, Round 1-2 per Dane Brugler). Williams (0.4 years older than Schwartz) averaged 64.3 YPG through three seasons at Auburn, compared to Schwartzs 43.4 YPG. Wes Huber has long been pounding the table for Sermon, and this was exactly what we needed to see from him in order to break into that second tier. During the Vertical Jump, an athlete must stand on a pad with some sort of compatible height measurer attached. In the Kneeling Power Ball Toss, an athlete must kneel with both knees on a flat surface while raising a 2 or 3 kilogram medicine / power ball over their head. Wex might be right. Green Flags (Is that the opposite of a red flag?). Zierlein's biggest knock on him is his skinny build. But the main point is everyone calls him slight but no one has seen him play with the added weight. This youth factor is then balanced by a premium on projected near-term production (i.e. The position requires in-depth knowledge and instincts, which isnt measured publicly in Indy. Tylan Wallace (ADP: WR9) posted a 42.0 SPORQ score. A pace above 2.50 is considered a very fast pace and under 2.00 is a very slow pace. Dillon and Antonio Gibson had monster performances at the Combine and are squarely on the Day 2/3 borderline You can read my early scouting reports and statistical evals on the running back class here., How to read this: Henry Ruggs is a 99th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete., Overall, the depth of this class lived up to the hype Henry Ruggs 4.27 forty vaulted him into the 99th percentile, and Donovan Peoples-Jones, Devin Duvernay, Dezmon Patmon, Denzel Mims, and Chase Claypool werent far behind in Adjusted SPARQ CeeDee Lamb (57th percentile) and Jerry Jeudy (38th percentile) are closer to average athletes, which is fine, but could keep them out of the top-8 selections on draft night after the OTs tested through the roof at the Combine You can read my early scouting reports and statistical evals on the receiver class here., How to read this: Albert Okwuegbunam is a 93rd percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Expected Points Added (EPA) measures the value of individual plays by calculating the expected points scored based on the down, distance, and field position situation at the start of a play and contrasting it with the situation at the end of the play.
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